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General Mathematics · Unit 3 · Bivariate data analysis 2 · Association and causation

Identify and communicate possible non-causal explanations for an association, including coincidence or the influence of another variable.

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Question 1

A health researcher observes a strong positive association between ice cream sales (in thousands of dollars) and the number of drowning incidents recorded at public pools in a city over a 12-month period. (a) Define confounding variable. (b) Identify one confounding variable that could explain this association. (c) Explain why the variable you identified in part (b) is a confounding variable in this situation.

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Question 2

A researcher observes a strong positive association between the number of swimming pool drownings and the amount of ice-cream sold each month across a seaside town over one year. Which explanation best accounts for this association without implying that ice-cream sales cause drownings?

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